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Category: Current

DONALD TRUMP – A WORK IN PROGRESS

Out of despair, insight. A comment from a despairing American friend of mine suddenly helped me to understand Donald Trump and his context. “If Thomas Jefferson had foreseen Donald Trump”, he said, “he would have told his fellow revolutionaries that they must stop fighting immediately and make peace terms with

POPE FRANCIS’S HUMANITARIAN VERSION OF CATHOLIC WISDOM

Pope Francis is widely acclaimed today, less for his Catholic wisdom than for the fact that he is perceived by secular (and some religious) opinion as some kind of “progressive”. Whether this will lead many to return to the Catholic Church or reconsider “the truth about man” that it proffers is highly doubtful. There is an element of the bien-pensant in Francis’s papacy,

THE PERILS OF POPULAR HISTORY – SIMON WINDER, DANUBIA: A PERSONAL HISTORY OF HABSBURG EUROPE

Simon Winder, Danubia: a Personal History of Habsburg Europe, Picador, 2013* This book, though not without virtues, illustrates the perils of popular history. The book is about the Habsburg past, yet far too often Winder has no convincing grasp of what he is dealing with. It is written in a light, jokey style which sometimes works, sometimes jars. Musil gets a mention, but

THE NEW GEOGRAPHY OF GLOBAL ECONOMIC POWER

When the United Kingdom voted on 23 June 2016 to leave the European Union, most people focused on immigration as the root cause. Some said it was xenophobia or even racism. And certainly immigration, xenophobia and racism were major issues in the referendum. But the ultimate cause of the Brexit vote was not immigration. It was economics. Around 3.2 million

HUNGARY AND THE CRISIS OF EUROPE

HUNGARY AND THE CRISIS OF EUROPE Viktor Orbán Judging from population, natural resources, and human capital, the European Union should be the leading power of the world. For the moment, however, its stagnation obstructs its potential leadership. What we call the European Project has been stopped in its tracks. We

HOW MUCH IS TOO MUCH? – REFLECTIONS ON PAUL COLLIER’S EXODUS

Both the narratives that immigration drives down wages for indigenous workers and that immigration is economically necessary are false. The truth is that moderate migration has economic effects on the indigenous population that in the short and medium term are mar- ginal and most probably positive. Any long term effects

THE PARALLEL WORLDS OF CITIZENS

Nowadays it has become exceedingly difficult to interpret and predict global processes. A recent case in point is the Brexit referendum, which produced an entirely unexpected outcome despite having been studied by a host of political analysts in advance. Likewise, the expert consensus was proven wrong by the end result

BREXIT AND THE ART OF THE POLITICALLY POSSIBLE

Britain, like Hungary, needs a foreign policy geared to its long-term interests in a rapidly changing world no longer en route to a liberal democratic end of history. This has become an urgent task in the wake of the 23 June vote to leave the European Union. Unlike the seemingly

CENTRAL EUROPE AND THE FUTURE OF THE WEST

Arnold Toynbee, the deservedly famous British historian and philosopher, in his monumental A Study of History described the rise and fall of dozens of civilisations. Based upon that model it is easy to predict the fall of our western civilisation. But that was predicted already a hundred years ago by Oswald Spengler in his Der Untergang des Abendlandes (The Decline of the West) published in 1918, in

‘BELEAVERS’ AND ‘REMOANERS’: BREXIT AND THE ANTI-DEMOCRATS

We have a Treaty under which there is no possibility of paying to bail out states. Angela Merkel, 2010. [As of October 2015, total approved bailout to eight EU partners was 525.8 billion euros.1] There can be no democratic choice against the European Treaties.Jean-Claude Juncker (Le Figaro, 28 January 2015.)